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TF2 Item Price Updates — Aug 8 2015

Posted on: August 9th, 2015 by Obey

Contents of this post:

  1. Gun Mettle market prices and trends
  2. Keys and Metal price trends
  3. Item Quality price trends

 

Useful Links:

 

1. “Gun Mettle” Prices and Trends

NOTE: Most recent observations of GM weps here.

“Gun Mettle” Season runs through September 30th, 2015.

As you may recall, the Team Fortress 2 has been busy completing contracts and earning rewards by participating in the Gun Mettle event. There are several dozen Decorated (a quality reserved for reskinned stock) weapons that can be earned, and many of the most common weapons can be had very cheaply. I’ve observed the following:

  • “Factory New” weapons are preferred, and “Minimal Wear” less so.

There are five grades of wear: Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn, and Battle Scarred. Each grade determines how much of the weapon’s reskin design is displaced by an appearance of wear and tear, and each quality seems just as common as the others. Collectors clearly prefer the least amount of wear.

Price Comparison

In all cases, the Factory New sells for three to ten times as much as its Well-Worn and Battle Scarred counterparts. A Minimal Wear weapon sells for two to three times as much as Well-Worn and Battle Scarred weapons also. This is likely because the design is much crisper and not missing many visual effects. Note the price difference in the above rocket launchers, which have the same item quality but different grades (and thus different visual effects).

  • This means you can buy many of the more common Gun Mettle weapons very cheaply by choosing weapons with higher wear.

Also, weapons do NOT wear as you use them. They simply spawn with one of five permanent levels of decorative wear.

  • You can’t smelt them into metal or use them for any crafting recipes.
  • You can’t put a killstreaker kit or strangifier on a Gun Mettle weapon at this time.

A few weapons exist that have one, but that’s because bugged killstreak kits dropped for a short time as an MvM tour reward for each kind of weapon. Such weapons are rare to very rare, and those kits were removed in a quick patch. (Possibly something intended for a later TF2 patch?)

  • Cases aren’t worth much anymore.

At first, cases sold for above US$5, but as supply increased, prices fell. Now there are thousands for sale on the market; Concealed Killer cases are going about $0.15, and Powerhouse cases are about $0.40 each. Remember: these cases require a Gun Mettle Key to open.

  • Scatterguns and sniper rifles have the highest demand.  Secondary weapons and Heavy miniguns have the lowest demand.

This simply follows the increased demand for Scout and Sniper rares, similar to the demand for Stranges and Aussies.

  • Strange and Unusual Decorated Weapons are only available from Cases.

There are currently no Strange or Unusual Teufort or Craftsmann weapons. Strange Gun Mettle weapons are selling for roughly fifteen times the price standard weapon of the same wear. All Unusual and Strange Factory New Gun Mettle weapons are selling for well north of US$50; only several dozen have successfully sold on the Market, however. There are too few of these being sold to provide a reliable price range.

  • There are exactly four Unusual Effects for Concealed Killer and Powerhouse Unusual Weapons.

These are Isotope, Hot, Cool, and Energy Orb. They either animate at the end of the weapon, or along the length of the weapon.

Steam Market Listings for All Gun Mettle Weps

Please note that I’m simply listing the lowest current sale price for these items.

 

CRAFTSMANN COLLECTION

Craftsmann Decorated weapons are earned as contract rewards only.

200px-Backpack_Reclaimed_Reanimator_Medi_Gun_Factory_New 200px-Backpack_Tartan_Torpedo_Scattergun_Factory_NewI’ve included the Steam Market’s current* lowest selling prices below. Factory New weapons command the high range, and the Battle Scarred or Well-Worn usually sell for the cheapest. The lowest Market price will vary, and vary a lot in the case of Stranges.

*Aug 9, 2015

TEUFORT COLLECTION

Teufort Decorated weapons are earned as contract rewards only.

200px-Backpack_Bovine_Blazemaker_Flame_Thrower_Factory_New 200px-Backpack_Citizen_Pain_Minigun_Factory_New

CONCEALED KILLER COLLECTION

Concealed Killer weapons are dropped from Concealed Killer cases only.

200px-Backpack_King_of_the_Jungle_Minigun_Factory_New 200px-Backpack_Purple_Range_Sniper_Rifle_Factory_New

POWERHOUSE COLLECTION

Powerhouse weapons are dropped from Powerhouse cases only.

200px-Backpack_Lightning_Rod_Shotgun_Factory_New200px-Backpack_Thunderbolt_Sniper_Rifle_Factory_New

2. Keys and Metal Price Trends

As of Aug 9 2015:

Refined Metal

1 key = about 16 ref

about US$0.15 = 1 ref

Backpack.tf says that, after staying at a stable 19 ref since May, keys fell to 16 ref, yet that 16 ref is worth only $2 there.

On Trade.tf, keys fell from 19 ref to 15 ref during the month of July before finally stabilizing at about 15.5 ref. (Strangely, I’m only getting data thru July 18th >.< )

Mann Co. Keys

In the Steam Market, Mann Co. Keys have been steady between $2.40 and $2.50.

Gun Mettle Keys

In the Steam Market, Gun Mettle Keys have slid down to about US$2.50 (they had been about $2.70 at the start of August).

Other Keys

  • Most Summer Cooler Keys are trading around $3.
  • Other usable keys are staying in the $2.50 to $2.60 range, or equivalent with other typical keys.

Earbuds = 4 keys

Over the month of July, buds have fallen about a dollar to the $9 to $10 range in the Steam Market. On Trade.tf, earbuds stabilized at 4 keys this past week, climbing from 3.2 keys in the second half of July. Likewise, backpack.tf lists about 4 keys.

Bill’s Hat = 2.2 keys

The price of a Bill’s in the Steam Market has stablized to a $6 to $7 range, after having fallen under $5 in the month of June. At the start of 2015, they had been nearly $9 but had been steadily falling.

Backpack.tf agrees, listing Bill’s Hat at 2.2 to 2.3 keys as well and Trade.tf listing at about 2 keys.

 

3. Other Item Qualities

Most non-Botkiller Strange weapons can be bought between $0.08 and $0.50.  However, Aussie Stranges differ depending on where you trade them:

  • On the Steam Market, Aussies (without Killstreak Kits) run between $23 for an Axtinguisher or SMG, to $85-$90 for a Scattergun. [That's the recently sold prices, not the current lowest selling price.]
  • On Backpack.tf, Axtinguishers and SMGs are worth about 8 keys/$20, and Eyelanders, Sniper Rifles and Scatterguns are 32-33 keys/$80.
  • Aussie Rocket Launchers are selling on the Market for $135 to $150 consistently, but trading for about 50 keys/$100 on Backpack.tf (partly because keys are valued at $2 there).

Most Collector’s weapons can be bought on the Steam Market for $6 to $20 depending. Applying a Professional Killstreak Kit increases the price as well. They don’t sell very often, however.

The cheapest Unusual hats can be bought on the Steam Market for $23 to $25, including many cancer Heavy hats with effects such as Flies.

 

Thanks for reading! I intend to update in about two months.

[N] Obey

P.S. Previous TF2 Prices Blogpost:  Jan 26

This entry was posted on Sunday, August 9th, 2015 at 4:51 pm and is filed under Uncategorized. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

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